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November 28, 2011


Sales of existing single-family Texas homes in October were up 8 percent from a year ago, according to the most recent Multiple Listing Services (MLS) data compiled by the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University.

More than 15,600 existing single-family homes were sold, data showed. The median home price was $147,500, up 2 percent from a year ago, and the state’s overall inventory was at 6.9 months.

Meanwhile, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported yesterday that, nationally, existing home sales rose 1.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.97 million in October from a downwardly revised 4.9 million in September, and are 13.5 percent above the 4.38 million unit level in October 2010.

The national median price for existing homes was $162,500, which was 4.7 percent below October 2010.

Talking about the national numbers, Center Research Economist Dr. Jim Gaines said homebuyers continue to be frustrated by stiff mortgage underwriting and appraisals despite favorable buying factors such as low interest rates, sluggish but positive job creation and lower home prices.

“NAR reported contract cancellations at 33 percent in October, meaning that one in three sales contracts failed to close,” Gaines said. “Sales agents should be very circumspect when qualifying buyers for mortgages, rather than being frustrated later because the deal does not close.”

October 2011 MLS data for many Texas cities are available on the Center’s website. Here is a sampling (data current as of Nov. 21, 2011):

 
November 18, 2011


A Report From Our Lender, Nick at Guaranteed Rate

On Monday, Republicans and Democrats agreed to send a measure to vote that would increase the loan limits in certain high-cost areas for loans insured by the Federal Housing Administration. If passed by Congress, the limits reduced back in September would be increased again to help provide more financing opportunity for areas where housing costs are higher on average.

Today’s big news in the mortgage market was the Federal Housing Finance Agency releasing details around the modification of HARP (Home Affordable Refinance Program), an initiative initially created to allow borrowers to refinance and lower payments despite falling home values. The expansion of this program will affect certain borrowers with Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac insured loans. This announcement will not affect borrowers until December, after lenders, servicers and mortgage insurance companies all digest the language and draft lending policies over the next few weeks. Not only will rates improve for certain borrowers, but other borrowers that weren’t eligible to refinance will have options going forward. It will be important to look for information here in the coming days and weeks.

Retail sales in October came in higher than expected this morning and the New York Manufacturing Index shows shipments growing. But this positive economic news was mostly offset by continued concern from the European sector. Investors continue to be concerned that EU nations will be unable to implement austerity measures and generate the capital needed to weather their debt crisis. French, Italian and Spanish bond yields continue to climb and some fear that Italy may be the next to seek talks around a bailout. Recession talks are common for the EU region, with Europe failing to exceed growth expectations in the third quarter. This has led the dollar to strengthen and US Treasury bonds continue as a source for more stable investment. Mortgage rates have maintained fairly consistent and aggressive levels, despite some relatively positive economic news over the past week. The concensus for economic growth in the coming quarters appears to be a modest 2.0 – 2.5% for the U.S. while Europe struggles to remain in positive territory (~0.5%).

As we continue through the remainder of the week, prices paid to wholesalers in October decreased by the most in four months, indicating slower inflation levels. Although this would normally point to a more negative outlook which would lower rates, some consider this more of a correction from higher prices seen as a result of the Japan Tsunami and higher energy prices earlier in the year. Look for the Consumer Price Index, Manufacturing and Housing Starts reports later in the week. Any modest improvements are somewhat expected. If signs point toward another U.S. economic stall, we can expect rates to fall slightly.

 
November 04, 2011


NORCROSS, Ga. (Site Selection) –

Texas has claimed the top slot in Site Selection magazine’s “Top Business Climate 2011″ contest.
The Lone Star State finished strong in the objective, data-driven component of the index used to determine the top business climates, as well as in the subjective input supplied by respondents to the magazine’s annual executive survey of site selectors.

One survey respondent commended Texas for being “a pro-business, entrepreneurial, right-to-work state.” Another applauded the state’s tax climate, regulatory environment, incentive programs and work-force development efforts.
Site Selection reported that 40 percent of the new U.S. jobs created since June 2009 were created in Texas. A ranking by NewGeography.com supports that.

That site’s “Best Cities for Job Growth 2011″ rankings look at employment data over time across three population tiers. In the small metros category, Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood placed first, College Station-Bryan third and Midland fourth. El Paso placed first in the midsize tier, followed by Corpus Christi and, in fourth, McAllen-Edinburg-Mission. In the large tier, Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos placed first, Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown third, San Antonio-New Braunfels fourth and Dallas-Plano-Irving fifth.

Those jobs mean demand for office space, another area in which Texas has stood out. Houston, Austin and Dallas finished in the top ten markets nationally in office space demand, according to an analysis by national real estate services firm Cassidy Turley. The firm found those three markets alone accounted for nearly 20 percent of all net demand in third quarter 2011.

“Other markets in Texas are also positive,” said Kevin Thorpe, chief economist with Cassidy Turley. “The U.S. is a mixed-bag story, with many negative markets and many positive markets. In Texas, it’s positive across the board.”

 
October 24, 2011


DALLAS (Dallas Morning News) – A recent study by the Dallas Morning News suggests that DFW’s housing market woes may have hit bottom.

According to the study, home foreclosures in the first half of this year were down more than 10 percent from the same period last year, and more than 25 percent from the same period in 2008.

Lenders foreclosed on more than 7,800 DFW homes during the first half of this year, reports Addison-based Foreclosure Listing Service. The total value of those properties was almost $779 million.

Foreclosure rates are highest in places such as Celina, Anna, Princeton, Lavon, Little Elm, Lancaster, Glenn Heights, Forest Hill, Blue Mound and Fate.

D’Ann Petersen with the Federal Research Bank of Dallas said foreclosures bear watching and may remain elevated until there’s sustained improvement in the housing market.

“The housing market is still wobbly, but it does appear to have reached a bottom,” she said.

 
October 17, 2011


WASHINGTON, D.C. (NAHB) – Nearly a third of the 23 housing markets listed on the October National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/First American Improving Markets Index (IMI) are in Texas.

The index reveals metropolitan areas that have shown improvement for at least six months in housing permits, employment and housing prices.

Texas markets making the list were Amarillo, McAllen, Midland, Odessa, Sherman, Waco and Wichita Falls.

“While Pittsburgh and New Orleans remain the two largest improving markets, the October IMI is heavily weighted by smaller cities in which energy and agriculture are the primary economic drivers and where the effects of the recession have been less pronounced,” said NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe. “In particular, Texas stands out for its seven entries on the improving markets list.”

Last month, only 12 housing markets nationally were listed in the index.

 
October 04, 2011


Modtown Realty’s parent company, The Greener City Group, and Sustainable Image has successfully developed and closed their first Dallas Green Home Project in the Junius Heights District – 5424 Worth St.

Even in a down real estate market, there is an appetite for something unique and special, not to mention affordable.  Building a Historic Craftsman Style home with modern interior designs gives the homeowner all the creature comforts of a custom home.

The new addition to the community of Junius Heights was an openly welcomed and widely anticipated project – not seen in this area.  This Modern Craftsman Home may be the first in the area, and the 2 companies are setting out to continue the success right next door as construction begins on the second home in 1 month.

What makes these homes so unique is not just the quality of craftsmanship and materials used, but the overall thought and forward thinking design that went into the home before the foundation was ever laid.

“We wanted to design a home that had it all, even with only 1700 sqft, we feel if you can build a home around a centrally focused theme, and stay true to that goal – the product will be exceptional” – says Drew Colon with Greener City Group.

“It’s the little things that make a difference - like the master closet that has access to the laundry room – these are types of layouts you don’t see in homes of this size.”

“We also did away with the formal dining and created an elegant eating space configured to be relaxed and inviting, in addition to providing seating for 10 people.  We must have looked over the plans for days and made several revisions till it was perfect..”

5424 Worth St. closed on Monday, and the new home owners are eager to move in.

Will this start a new trend in Dallas green homes? We certainly hope so.

For more information on custom home projects, visit Sustainable Image

 
September 26, 2011


The Federal Reserve’s latest strategy to kick-start the economy has been dubbed “Operation Twist” by pundits, but it’s causing many people to shout. When the Fed announced its intentions to purchase $400 billion in long-term bonds on Wednesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average immediately dropped 250 points. Then on Thursday, the Dow dropped 400 points more. In short, financial markets aren’t impressed.

We aren’t impressed either. The real issue is general uncertainty in too many sectors of the economy, and, ironically, certainty with interest rates. In fact, we think that the promise of low interest rates extending far into the future will do more harm than good, because now even more people are motivated to move to the sidelines to wait for mortgage rates to fall further still.

We expect to see a pick up in refinance activity, but we would like to see more purchase activity. We remain convinced that the prospect of rising, not falling, rates and more accommodating underwriting standard are what’s needed to stimulate purchase activity today.

 
September 19, 2011


We like it when people think outside the box. Radar Logic, a data and analytic firm, has sent a proposal to Washington on a loan-restructuring plan we find intriguing.

Mortgage News Daily offers an example of Radar logic’s plan in practice: A loan with an original balance of $190,000 has been paid down to $186,000, then goes into default. A foreclosure occurs and a subsequent sale of the REO property nets $99,000. The loss suffered by the lender would be $87,000. Under Radar Logic’s plan, a restructuring occurs based on borrower information and the appraised value of the home to produce a new loan of $125,000. The restructuring would result in a loss of $61,000 for the lender, but a 26-percent larger recovery.

So what’s the incentive for the lender? The restructured loan would also include an equity participation certificate (EPC). While the homeowner would be granted a portion of the appreciation rights, the lender would hold an equity position through the EPC in anticipation of appreciation of the underlying collateral.

There are a couple obvious risks: 1) Radar Logic’s contention that its plan will reduce the perception of over-supply and prices rise fails to materialize; and 2) the borrower defaults on the restructured loan. That said, at least Risk Logic is thinking, and we like that.

 
September 12, 2011


The 15 Year Solution

Since the great recession of 2008-2009, Americans have been de-leveraging: that is, paying down debt and saving more. One worthwhile strategy for paying down debt and saving more is to switch to a 15-year fixed-rate loan, which is one significant reason we have seen more interest in the 15-year loan in the past year.

If a borrower can swing a few hundred bucks more a month toward paying a 15-year loan, he can save a heck of a lot of money. A 15-year fixed-rate mortgage priced at 3.75 percent would produce a P&I payment of $1,454 on a $200,000 loan. The 30-year fixed-rate loan at 4.5 percent would produce a P&I payment of $1,013 on the same loan amount.

The big difference is interest paid over the life of the loan: The 30-year loan costs $164,800 in interest while the 15-year loan costs only $61,800.

It’s all obvious, to be sure, but sometimes the obvious offers a very good opportunity, especially at today’s interest rates – and especially for someone pursuing a lower-debt lifestyle.

Start saving now

 
August 29, 2011


We’ve gone down the higher-inflation, higher-interest rate road many times in the past, only to find ourselves doubling back. There is an interesting trend occurring with banks, though, that could persuade us to go down it once again.

One of the more vocal criticisms of banks is that they haven’t been lending as much as they should. There is some validity to the criticism; banks have been squirreling away a higher amount of reserves with the Federal Reserve, which has attenuated loan supply and, therefore, money supply, thus keeping inflation in check.

Data released by the Federal Reserve show this period of containment appears to be ending. In other words, excess bank reserves are leaking into the economy and money supply is growing. Because we operate in a fraction-reserve banking system, which means one dollar can be sufficiently leveraged to produce nine more, more reserves put to work can quickly raise inflation pressure.

This all might seem abstruse to the layperson unfamiliar with the intricacies of the Federal Reserve and fractional-reserving banking. All we are saying is that it is folly to write off price inflation and the possibility of higher mortgage rates, because there is no “normal” when it comes to financial markets.

 
Tel: 214.749.4700         E-mail: info@modtownrealty.com
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Modtown Realty Group Inc Equal Housing Opportunity
TREC #0596045
8201 Preston Rd. Suite 300
Dallas, TX 75225